The Power Struggle: Why Compute Sovereignty Requires Energy Sovereignty in the Age of AI?

Artificial intelligence has entered an era of industrial scale. Large models with hundreds of billions of parameters, trained across thousands of GPUs, are enabling breakthroughs in language, vision and science. Yet this success comes at a cost: electricity is now the limiting reagent for intelligence. Recent reporting has shown that AI data centres can consume as much power as a small city and that cooling these dense clusters of GPUs and TPUs is becoming a primary engineering challenge. When a single training run for a model like GPT‑3 consumes megawatt‑hours of electricity and high‑performance compute clusters require specialized cooling, it is clear that energy is no longer an afterthought, it is the bottleneck. Without reliable, affordable and low‑carbon power, compute sovereignty becomes impossible. This blog makes the case that energy sovereignty, control over the sources, resilience and sustainability of power, is now inseparable from compute sovereignty. We explore the technologies enabling this transition, from small modular reactors and fusion to microgrids, demand response and decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN). We examine the geopolitical and environmental stakes of this transformation and offer actionable recommendations for policymakers and technologists.
Stefaan Vervaet
October 31, 2025

Introduction

The global race to build ever larger AI models has driven an unprecedented expansion in data‑centre infrastructure. Cloud providers and hyperscalers are racing to deploy custom silicon and GPU accelerators, while governments and corporations invest billions in high‑performance computing capacity. Yet this arms race has collided with a more fundamental constraint: electricity. Power grids, designed for steady industrial loads, were not built for the spiky demand of AI training clusters. The economic viability of AI now hinges on access to cheap, reliable and low‑carbon power. This tension is already apparent in the scramble by tech giants to secure long‑term energy contracts and invest in their own generation capacity. Compute sovereignty has moved from being an abstract concept about strategic autonomy to a concrete reality measured in megawatts and kilowatt‑hours.

The AI Energy Stack: Generation, Storage and Orchestration

Generation: The largest tech companies are increasingly investing in their own power sources. Small modular reactors (SMRs) have emerged as a promising way to provide stable baseload power without the massive upfront costs of conventional nuclear plants. SMRs are factory‑built, scalable and safer by design. The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission recently certified the first SMR design, and companies like Microsoft and Amazon are exploring SMRs to power data centres. Others are signing long‑term contracts for geothermal and offshore wind. Fusion startups are also attracting investment; while commercial fusion remains a decade away, private companies claim they can deliver 24/7 “sovereign electricity” free from grid regulation.

Storage: Even with new generation, energy storage is critical for balancing intermittent renewables and dynamic AI demand. Battery storage systems, pumped hydro, compressed‑air storage and emerging technologies like liquid air energy storage are being deployed to smooth out supply and demand. Hyperscalers are integrating large‑scale batteries on‑site to buffer power, reduce peak demand charges and provide backup during grid outages. Some data centres are experimenting with hydrogen fuel cells as long‑duration storage.

Orchestration: Managing AI power consumption requires sophisticated software. Workload schedulers can shift training jobs to times when renewable energy is abundant or prices are low. Demand response programmes allow data centres to reduce load during grid stress, earning revenue while helping grid stability. Real‑time monitoring systems, driven by AI, optimise cooling and power flows across racks and containers. As energy becomes a critical resource, the orchestration layer becomes as important as the hardware.

Nuclear, Fusion and the Race for Compute Sovereignty

In 2025 nuclear power is experiencing a renaissance driven by AI’s energy appetite. Reports highlight a $350 billion nuclear spending boom in the United States to build 53 gigawatts of new capacity by 2050, primarily through SMRs. While deployment will be slow (likely after 2035 due to regulatory and supply‑chain constraints), investors are positioning themselves for the long term. The appeal of nuclear is its ability to deliver stable, low‑carbon baseload power, ideal for AI workloads. However, nuclear projects face public opposition, high upfront costs and regulatory scrutiny. Ensuring safety, waste management and community buy-in is crucial.

Fusion offers an alluring alternative. Private fusion companies claim to be nearing net‑energy breakeven and envision modular fusion plants powering data centres. They argue that fusion’s lack of long‑lived radioactive waste and minimal regulatory hurdles could enable “sovereign electricity” free from grid dependencies. Yet the technology remains unproven at scale. Investments in fusion should be balanced against proven low‑carbon options like wind, solar and geothermal. Policymakers must avoid hype cycles and ensure diversified energy portfolios.

Microgrids, Demand Response and DePIN

Not all solutions require megaprojects. Microgrids, localised grids that can operate independently, offer resilience and flexibility. Data centres are installing microgrids combining solar, wind and battery storage to ensure continuous operations even during grid outages. Microgrids can participate in demand response programmes, reducing load during peak demand and earning compensation. They also enable energy arbitrage, buying electricity when prices are low and selling or consuming when prices rise.

Decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN) extend this concept by incentivising individuals and communities to contribute energy resources. Projects like Helium’s LoRaWAN network and Filecoin’s decentralised storage illustrate how token incentives can bootstrap real‑world infrastructure. Similar models could encourage homeowners to install rooftop solar and share excess capacity with neighbouring data centres. DePIN models raise questions about governance, token economics and regulation, but they hold promise for democratizing energy ownership.

Energy Markets and Procurement Strategies

Securing affordable power is not just about technology; it is also about markets. Power purchase agreements (PPAs) allow companies to lock in prices for renewable energy, providing financial certainty and supporting new projects. Some PPAs include virtual power purchase agreements (VPPAs) that settle financial differences between contracted and market prices without physical delivery. Capacity markets pay generators for being available during peak demand, ensuring reliability but raising costs. Renewable energy certificates (RECs) let companies claim they use green power, though they do not guarantee that electrons are delivered to the right location. Navigating these instruments requires financial and legal expertise.

Cost curves matter. Solar and wind costs have fallen dramatically, but integration costs rise as renewable penetration increases. Nuclear has high capital cost but low operating cost. Geothermal and hydro provide baseload but have geographic limitations. Diversifying energy procurement across multiple sources and jurisdictions hedges risks. Partnerships with utilities and independent power producers can provide bespoke solutions. Some hyperscalers invest directly in energy startups to secure priority access and shape technology development.

Community Impacts and Environmental Justice

Large data centres often locate in rural or economically depressed regions to access cheap land and power. While they bring jobs and tax revenue, they also strain local infrastructure, increase water consumption and risk environmental degradation. Communities in Appalachia and the American Southwest have raised concerns about groundwater depletion from evaporative cooling and noise pollution from backup generators. Environmental justice demands that benefits and burdens be distributed fairly. Companies must engage local stakeholders, fund community projects and implement sustainable practices like closed‑loop water systems. Regulators should require impact assessments and mitigation plans before permitting new data‑centre projects.

Emerging Innovations: CCS, hydrogen and gravity storage

Beyond nuclear and renewables, emerging technologies offer hope. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) could enable continued use of natural gas while eliminating emissions. AI companies considering gas‑fired power plants are exploring on‑site CCS to offset carbon. Hydrogen serves as both a fuel and a storage medium; green hydrogen produced via electrolysis could power fuel cells during peak loads. Gravity storage, where weights are lifted when energy is abundant and dropped to generate power later, is being piloted in former mine shafts. While these technologies are nascent, they could play a role in meeting surging AI demand.

DePIN Economics and Governance

Decentralised energy networks raise novel governance questions. How are token incentives calibrated to reward early adopters without causing inflation? Who maintains and upgrades physical infrastructure when thousands of small owners participate? How are disputes resolved? Lessons from decentralised storage networks can inform design. Governance should be transparent, with on‑chain voting or delegated representatives. Incentive schemes must balance long‑term sustainability with short‑term participation. Regulators may need to classify certain DePIN tokens as securities or utilities, requiring disclosures and consumer protections.

The Global Landscape: Energy Sovereignty as Geostrategy

Energy sovereignty is not only a corporate issue; it is geopolitical. Countries like France and China have invested heavily in nuclear to secure energy independence, while Germany’s Energiewende emphasises renewables. The United States’ bipartisan infrastructure law includes billions for grid modernization and clean energy. Nations that control both compute and energy supply will wield outsized influence in the AI era. Conversely, regions dependent on imported fossil fuels and foreign cloud providers risk technological colonisation. The Brussels effect, where EU regulations become global standards, could extend to energy if Europe couples its AI Act with aggressive climate policy.

Environmental and Security Considerations

Data centres consume water and generate heat. Their carbon footprint depends on the energy mix. Switching to nuclear or renewables reduces emissions but introduces other risks, nuclear waste, mining impacts and supply‑chain fragility. Cybersecurity is also critical: microgrids and DePIN networks could become targets for hackers seeking to disrupt AI operations. Physical security matters too, as on‑site generators and batteries pose fire and explosion hazards. Comprehensive risk assessments and defence‑in‑depth strategies are essential.

Case Studies: Hyperscaler Energy Strategies

Microsoft: The company has signed long‑term agreements for nuclear power, invested in fusion startups and announced plans to run data centres on hydrogen fuel cells. It uses AI to predict energy demand and optimise generator dispatch. Microsoft also works with local utilities to develop microgrid projects and participates in capacity markets to ensure reliability.

Amazon: AWS invests in wind and solar farms globally and has purchased rights to SMR capacity in the Pacific Northwest. It pairs on‑site batteries with demand response to reduce peak loads and is exploring modular gas turbines combined with CCS. Amazon aims to match its energy use with renewable generation on an hourly basis by 2030.

Google: The company pioneered carbon‑aware computing, shifting workloads to times and locations with lower carbon intensity. It invests in geothermal projects and has announced deals for next‑generation nuclear. Google uses AI to optimise cooling and reduce water use. Its long‑term goal is to operate on 100 % carbon‑free energy all day, every day.

Regulatory Frameworks and Energy Governance

Energy markets are heavily regulated. In the United States, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) oversees interstate transmission and wholesale markets, while states regulate retail rates and permitting. SMR developers must obtain licences from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Europe’s energy market is fragmented; cross‑border interconnectors and the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO‑E) coordinate flows. The AI Act’s serious‑incident reporting requirements may extend to energy disruptions if they impact high‑risk AI systems, illustrating the intersection of technology and energy regulation. Government incentives like tax credits and loan guarantees can accelerate deployment of clean energy for AI, but regulatory uncertainty remains a barrier.

Toward Equitable Energy and Compute Futures

Compute sovereignty will shape economic and geopolitical power in the 21st century. Achieving it without exacerbating inequality or environmental harm requires intentional design. Companies should adopt comprehensive energy strategies that prioritise sustainability, resilience and community well‑being. Policymakers must update regulations to accommodate new generation technologies, support microgrids and DePIN projects, and ensure fair distribution of benefits. Researchers should continue to innovate in energy‑efficient algorithms, hardware and infrastructure. Civil society must demand transparency and accountability from tech giants. The path to AI’s future runs through the power grid; navigating it wisely will determine whether AI serves the public good or entrenches new dependencies.

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